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February 2009 Seattle Market Updates

FebruaryIn King County,  number of sales increased by 8% over January showing a seasonal rise, and also favorable market changes with some tax help for first time homebuyers.

From February ‘08 to February ‘09 average prices are down 9%.

Not surprisingly, the most active price range for resale homes is $300,000-$350,000.  Second most active is $350,000 to $400,000.

The most active price range for new construction homes is $600,000 to $750,000, and the second most active is $750,000 to $1,000,000.

In Snohomish county, the number of sales rose 68% from January ‘09.

The average price of a residence is 15% lower than February ‘08.

The most active price range for resale homes is $300,000 to $350,000.  Second most active price range is $225,000 to $250,000.

In the new construction arena, the most active price range is $300,000 to $350,000.  In second place, $400,000 to $450,000.

Please remember that these numbers are county wide trends, and that real estate pricing is very localized and can also be affected by the owner’s situation.  Please call us for a closer look at properties that interest you.

Lynette Hensley

Here are the February 2009 Real Estate Market updates for King, Snohomish Counties:
King County

Snohomish County

And statistics by neighborhood:
King County Neighborhoods

Snohomish County Neighborhoods

Compiled by our title partner, from MLS statistics.

Lynette Hensley, Associate Broker, Realtor
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Can you represent us when purchasing a foreclosure?

March 12th, 2009 | No Comments | Posted in Around Town, Buyer's Corner

Question from a client:

I’ve had my eye on this house [Address].  It goes on Auction on [Date], 2009. Is it possible to buy it before that, and will the bank let us look around in it?  It is owned by [Trustee Name].
Thanks,  Client

Unfortunately, we would not be able to represent you for the purchase of a foreclosure.  It’s really a different animal than our business model covers. But I did a little digging for you, and thought you might be interested in knowing the following:
This house is not owned by [Trustee Service], but is still owned by the owner, with a lien on it at [Lender] for $[Loan].  The foreclosure process does not allow a sale or even access at this point.  This is the period of time during which the current owner, should he find the money to come current with the credit union, could redeem the house and get it back.  By law he must be given that time.  If there is a second mortgage, that could prevent a sale from proceeding. Many factors can delay or cancel an auction. Foreclosure is highly regulated by state law, and they must follow the time lines set out in the laws.  There is no short cutting that process once it’s handed over to a trustee.
Here are the risks.  There may be tax liens, utility liens, mechanics liens, or damage that you can’t know about till after the sale.  Buying a foreclosure is speculation.  Some folks win. Some lose.  People who are losing their homes often don’t take real good care of the home or their financial situation, leaving a title mess as well as a physical mess for the next guy.
So there is not any access to the house.  The only way to buy this property is to be present on the courthouse steps on the sale date and hope that it isn’t delayed and that someone else doesn’t beat you out.  You must have cash or it’s equivalent as the price is due and payable immediately.  (There are some short term loans at high interest rates that are used for the purpose, but you do not hold those loans long–you refinance ASAP.)  Foreclosure sales can be postponed for lots of reasons.
Caveat emptor (”let the buyer beware”) is the watchword where foreclosure purchases are concerned.
Hopefully I’ve answered your question–
I don’t recommend foreclosure auctions to many people.
They are for die hard investors with cash money to burn, in my opinion.
We can help you with bank owned properties or ANY property listed in the MLS, Short Sales, or Pre-foreclosures as long as they are listed in the MLS.  We can also work on For Sale By Owner homes in any of the above states as long as the owner will work with buyer agents.
For more detailed information about the foreclosure process: Link to a site that outlines the foreclosure process in WA State

Lynette Hensley
Associate Broker

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Buying New Construction? Pay attention to this!

February 27th, 2009 | No Comments | Posted in Buyer's Corner

In recent months a few of our clients who purchased new construction within the last year have been reporting trouble with their builder/seller that issued a warranty in the contract, but is not honoring it.   Whether it’s the sub-contractors that don’t respond or the now bankrupted builder, the buyers are having a tough time getting someone to respond and correct warranty items.  Anyone who is purchasing new construction then, would do well to close the transaction AFTER all the punch list items are complete, even if it means a longer close, and not rely on the warranty to cover after-close issues.   It might be well to purchase a 1 year home warranty available for about $300-400 from an independent warranty company.

We will be advising all of our new construction clients of this and require, in the contract, all punch list issues to be handled before the closing papers are signed.

Lynette Hensley
Associate Broker

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January 2009 Seattle Area Market Updates

Lynette HensleyHere are the January 2009 Real Estate Market updates for King, Snohomish and Pierce Counties:
King County
Snohomish County

And statistics by neighborhood:
King County Neighborhoods
Snohomish County Neighborhoods
 

Compiled by our title partner, from MLS statistics.

Lynette Hensley, Associate Broker, Realtor
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December ‘08 Market Updates

Lynette HensleyHere are the December 2008 Real Estate Market updates for King, Snohomish and Pierce Counties:

King County

Snohomish County

Pierce County

And statistics by neighborhood:

King County by Neighborhood

Snohomish County by Neighborhood

Pierce County by Neighborhood

Compiled by our title partner Commonwealth Title, from MLS statistics.

Lynette Hensley, Associate Broker, Realtor
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Market Updates for November 2008

Here are the November 2008 Real Estate Market updates for King, Snohomish and Pierce Counties:

King County

Snohomish County

Pierce County

And statistics by neighborhood:

King County by Neighborhood

Snohomish County by Neighborhood

Pierce County by Neighborhood

Compiled by our title partner Commonwealth Title, from MLS statistics.

Lynette Hensley, Associate Broker, Realtor
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Current Observations of Buyer’s Market in Seattle

November 20th, 2008 | No Comments | Posted in Buyer's Corner, Real Estate Q&A, Seller's Forum

Here are my notes on buyer and seller activities in the current Seattle housing market:

Buyers:

1. There’s more inventory, so:  Buyers want to see them all, and with so many homes on the market, it takes longer for folks to decide which house to buy.

2. Buyers want the best bargain, which is always true, but in this market, more likely to happen, depending on the seller’s situation.

3. Buyers are having more challenges with financing, which is why it’s more important than ever to have that pre-approval letter from the lender.

Sellers:

1.  The situations are so varied for sellers. 

Banks that are selling homes are interested in their bottom line and getting the collateral/bad loan off their books.

New construction deals depend on the financial strength of the builder, how close they are to the due date on their construction loan, and if they have money to cover the payoff.  Also early sales in a condo complex or plat are not usually discounted, but the last few may be.  They have to preserve their sale price because the sold units or homes become comps for the subsequent sales.  If they discount early sales, they discount the whole project.  The way to get a good deal is to ask for closing costs, upgrades, appliances or other perks like homeowner dues paid for a specific time instead of price.  Is it the last one?  You may get a screaming deal if the builder wants to be done with the project–and they usually do want that.

Sellers/homeowners:  we look at time on the market, price drops they’ve already made and how leveraged they are in a mortgage.  The seller will be easier to work with if the offer doesn’t cause a short sale of course, as then we add the lender into the negotiations.  The lender will not okay a short sale until the seller is distressed and has missed some payments. A seller that doesn’t need to sell but can hold on and rent the house is not going to budge as much as a seller in dire straits.  A seller with lots of equity has room to dicker, but may or may not be willing.

2. Relocations are often a pretty good deal, and often the seller has two mortgages or a mortgage and rent in the new location, so they are anxious to sell.

3. If the house has been on the market a long time and the price has dropped, the seller has already done alot of the price hacking for the buyer, and it’s best to honor that and offer near the asking price as long as the sold comps support it.  They will be relieved to be working with a reasonable buyer and the buyer will be getting a good deal.

We work with buyers from all over the nation and world who have their own local real estate conditions and culture that they bring with them.  One of our clients said that buyers ALWAYS offer 20% less than the asking price and then they usually end up somewhere between 3%-10% below asking price.  Seattle is different.  Statistics show that even in this buyer’s market the average sold price/list price ratio is within 0%-5% of the listed price, and an offer 10%-20% low often doesn’t even get countered. 

This has frustrated some of our clients coming from other areas of the country, but the good news is that the real estate market in Seattle is still strong, and that as the nation recovers from the current financial turmoil, Seattle housing market will lead the way back up.

Lynette Hensley — Associate Broker

How Seattle Rides Real Estate Storms

November 20th, 2008 | No Comments | Posted in Buyer's Corner, Real Estate Q&A, Seller's Forum

This article and letter to a customer (from March 08 with subsequent updates) are a brief collection of my thoughts on Seattle’s ability to ride out the current national economic storm.  As with all research, anyone can tweak any data to mean what they wish, so I have tried to find the most balanced perspective possible. I do believe in Seattle Real-Estate as a sound real-estate investment in comparison to other parts of the country. When to sell ? When to buy? That’s as individual as yourselves.  Where to buy? HERE as soon as you find a place that’s comfortable.  How much to buy, what percentage of your debt to income ratio? Likely up to somewhere around 41% of your gross income, including all your debts is the old standard before this last unregulated splurge that got many in trouble.  Well here it is, hope this is of some help.

info added 11/19/08
Forbes where to invest in real-estate
(specifically commercial but homes follow that market closely)
http://realestate.msn.com/buying/Article_Forbes.aspx?cp-documentid=12808843&GT1=35000
 

Info added 10/30/08
New US home price comparative graphs 1990-2008 US as a whole and select markets Seattle  SanDiego, Miami, etc
http://mysite.verizon.net/vodkajim/housingbubble/

Seattle is an area of excellent opportunity in real estate. The most stable is King County. Currently, home prices are down 1-6% + – over last year in King county (the area Seattle, Bellevue and Redmond are in), each micro area has its own story most readily explainable. Most stable are the areas just north of Seattle’s city core and then east through north Bellevue and Redmond.  These areas are home to Microsoft, Amazon.Com, Zymogenetics, UW, and their employees.  Many Boeing management employees also live in these areas.  Boeing plants are south and north of town and while the areas around the plants are susceptible to air tanker, and dream liner, sales and losses (causing housing to fluctuate) the management core doesn’t fluctuate as much.

The historical charts show somewhere between 3 to 5 years for the average slump which is usually fairly flat then turns upwards. By my count we’re at about 18 months in and hopefully near the bottom of the curve but who really knows.  My family has been in real-estate in WA state since 1914.  My Grandmother was a real-estate lawyer in a downtown Seattle office. She always said real-estate was a sure deal, but always buy it knowing it could be a 20 year investment.  You might be able to sell it at 5 or 10 years at a profit but who can tell?  At somewhere between 10 and 20 years it was her feeling you would always have an opportunity to net a sizeable gain.  Choosing just when to sell was the art … I guess some things never change.

I think right now or fairly soon is a good time to invest.  How much?  That depends on your available funds … Properties at the $250-350k are “affordable housing” and every house flipper/investor or newlywed/first time buyer are eating them up.  Many of the GREAT deals seem to be in new construction town homes $500-600K or you can look for the last $700K house on the cul-de-sac because the builder wants to be done with that plat.

This article (admittedly from March 08) excepting the new US market comparative graphs at http://mysite.verizon.net/vodkajim/housingbubble/

These links are some of the best I have found on defending Seattle’s ability to ride out the current national economic storm.  Obviously, there is no crystal ball, but next is one of the best single sources of a fairly balanced view that I’ve found, as well as a couple of links to some graphs I found interesting:  http://seattlebubble.com/blog/2006/09/03/seattle-times-we-are-immune-so-says-history/
 
http://seattlebubble.com/blog/2008/02/19/king-county-home-prices-1946-2007/
http://seattlebubble.com/blog/2008/02/28/king-county-affordability-1950-2007/#more-1621http://www.zillow.com/static/images/quarterlies/2008-Q1/Home-Price-Appreciation-Seattle-WA.jpg 
Zillow can be kind of up and down on their pricing/valuing of current homes on the market, however these links are the compiled home prices sold last year and not their “zestimates”.

http://seattlebubble.com/blog/
For continued discussion of the local market, the Seattle Bubble blog is a fairly well balanced neither Polyanna nor the Harbinger of Doom.

 

 

Larry Baumgartner  | Realtor 

Market Updates for October 2008

Here are the monthly Real Estate Market updates for King, Snohomish and Pierce Counties:

http://www.comebuyahouse.com/OctoberKing08.pdf

http://www.comebuyahouse.com/OctoberSnohomish08.pdf

http://www.comebuyahouse.com/OctoberPierce08.pdf

Compiled by our title partner, from MLS statistics.

Lynette Hensley, Associate Broker, Realtor

Market Updates for September 2008

Here are the September 2008 Real Estate Market updates for King, Snohomish and Pierce Counties:

http://www.comebuyahouse.com/SeptemberKingR.pdf

http://www.comebuyahouse.com/SeptemberSnohomishR.pdf

http://www.comebuyahouse.com/SeptemberPierce(2).pdf

The reports by neighborhood are particularly interesting:

http://www.comebuyahouse.com/SeptemberKing.pdf

http://www.comebuyahouse.com/SeptemberSno.pdf

http://www.comebuyahouse.com/SeptemberPierce.pdf

Compiled by our title partner Commonwealth Title, from MLS statistics.

Lynette Hensley, Associate Broker, Realtor